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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
B

Gil Vicente
2 - 3
Benfica

Chabrol (74'), Dominguez (90+8')
Dominguez (17'), Tiba (29'), Carlos (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
di Maria (19' pen.), Silva (53'), Musa (90+4')
Kokcu (45+4'), Luis (67'), Silva (67')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guimaraes 2-1 Gil Vicente
Saturday, August 19 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 2-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, August 19 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Gil Vicente 0-2 Benfica

Benfica have not been wholly convincing in the league yet, but with the quality in their ranks, they should come out on top here. Gil Vicente have enjoyed a relatively strong start and should not be discouraged if Benfica get the better of them here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 59.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 18.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Gil VicenteDrawBenfica
18.71% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07) 21.66% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 59.64% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 53.86% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.21% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)43.79% (0.07 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.82% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)66.18% (0.067000000000007 0.07)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.84% (-0.114 -0.11)37.16% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.06% (-0.113 -0.11)73.95% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)14.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)42.11% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Gil Vicente 18.71%
    Benfica 59.63%
    Draw 21.66%
Gil VicenteDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 5.26%
2-1 @ 5.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.6% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.67% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 18.71%
1-1 @ 10.23%
0-0 @ 5.31% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.66%
0-1 @ 10.33% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 10.05% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 6.52% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.45%
2-3 @ 3.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.17% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.14%
2-4 @ 1.55% (-0.004 -0)
0-5 @ 1.23% (0.004 0)
1-5 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 59.63%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-1 Gil Vicente
Saturday, August 19 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 5-0 Portimonense
Saturday, August 12 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: UD Oliveirense 1-0 Gil Vicente
Saturday, July 22 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-0 Casa Pia
Saturday, May 27 at 12.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Gil Vicente
Sunday, May 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 3-1 Boavista
Friday, May 12 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 2-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, August 19 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 3-2 Benfica
Monday, August 14 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 2-0 Porto
Wednesday, August 9 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup
Last Game: Feyenoord 2-1 Benfica
Sunday, July 30 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Benfica 0-2 Burnley
Tuesday, July 25 at 8.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Al-Nassr 1-4 Benfica
Thursday, July 20 at 8.30pm in Club Friendlies 1


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