Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 66.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 12.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.93%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
