SM
| Current League B Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bermuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belize | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saint Vincent & the Grenadines | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | French Guiana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Antigua and Barbuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Guyana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Puerto Rico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bahamas | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bermuda win with a probability of 48.51%. A win for Antigua and Barbuda had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bermuda win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.99%) and 2-0 (5.51%). The likeliest Antigua and Barbuda win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bermuda in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bermuda | Draw | Antigua and Barbuda |
48.51% ( 0.13) | 21.27% ( 0.14) | 30.21% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 69.36% ( -0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.42% ( -0.89) | 29.57% ( 0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.32% ( -1.09) | 50.67% ( 1.08) |
| Bermuda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.1% ( -0.28) | 12.89% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.7% ( -0.58) | 39.29% ( 0.58) |
| Antigua and Barbuda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.63% ( -0.59) | 20.37% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.22% ( -0.95) | 52.77% ( 0.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bermuda | Draw | Antigua and Barbuda |
| 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.16)1-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.36% Total : 48.51% | 1-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.27% | 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.05)3-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.91% Total : 30.21% |
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