SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Betis in this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Betis | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
43.63% ( 0.35) | 26.11% ( -0.07) | 30.26% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 52.24% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48% ( 0.18) | 52% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.26% ( 0.15) | 73.74% ( -0.15) |
| Real Betis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.3% ( 0.25) | 23.7% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.19% ( 0.36) | 57.82% ( -0.36) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.46% ( -0.11) | 31.54% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.06% ( -0.13) | 67.94% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Betis | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.82% Total : 43.63% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.84% Total : 30.26% |
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