SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Birmingham City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Norwich City |
35.21% ( -0.59) | 25.12% ( -0) | 39.67% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 57.16% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.64% ( -0.07) | 46.36% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.35% ( -0.07) | 68.64% ( 0.07) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.41% ( -0.37) | 25.59% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.53% ( -0.51) | 60.46% ( 0.51) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.81% ( 0.27) | 23.18% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.92% ( 0.39) | 57.07% ( -0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Norwich City |
| 1-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.56% Total : 35.21% | 1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 4.21% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.14% Total : 39.67% |
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