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Championship | Gameweek 7
Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
NL

Birmingham
1 - 2
Norwich

Hogan (50')
Williams (9'), Bacuna (61'), Trusty (71'), Deeney (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Omobamidele (63'), Hernandez (90+3')
Dowell (11'), Omobamidele (71'), Aarons (80'), Hernandez (90+4')

We said: Birmingham City 1-2 Norwich City

Arriving in the Midlands with confidence high and boasting a reliable source of goals, Norwich can deepen their hosts' woes by taking home the points. Birmingham's lack of precision in the opposition box means their winless run will roll on into September. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 56.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 20.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.38%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Norwich City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Norwich City.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawNorwich City
20.29%23.68% (0.0019999999999989 0) 56.02% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.07% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.85% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)50.15% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.88% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)72.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.86%39.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.15% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)75.85% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.27% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)17.73% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.59% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)48.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 20.29%
    Norwich City 56.02%
    Draw 23.68%
Birmingham CityDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 6.51% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 5.28%
2-0 @ 3.05%
3-1 @ 1.65%
3-2 @ 1.43%
3-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 20.29%
1-1 @ 11.26%
0-0 @ 6.94% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 23.68%
0-1 @ 12%
0-2 @ 10.38%
1-2 @ 9.74%
0-3 @ 5.99%
1-3 @ 5.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.64%
0-4 @ 2.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.43%
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 56.02%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rotherham 2-0 Birmingham
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Wigan
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Watford
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Birmingham
Saturday, August 13 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-2 Birmingham (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Birmingham 2-1 Huddersfield
Friday, August 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-1 Norwich
Saturday, August 27 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-2 Bournemouth (3-5 pen.)
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Norwich 2-0 Millwall
Friday, August 19 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-1 Huddersfield
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-2 Birmingham (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup


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