SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Ipswich Town |
29.07% ( 0.41) | 23.57% ( 0.02) | 47.35% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 59.98% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.46% ( 0.16) | 41.54% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.06% ( 0.16) | 63.94% ( -0.16) |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.94% ( 0.35) | 27.06% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.57% ( 0.46) | 62.43% ( -0.46) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.23% ( -0.11) | 17.77% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.53% ( -0.19) | 48.47% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Ipswich Town |
| 2-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.02% Total : 29.07% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.57% | 1-2 @ 9.38% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 5.4% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.53% ( -0)Other @ 3.78% Total : 47.35% |
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