Barring that loss to Portsmouth last time out, Blackpool have found a bit of form of late and will fancy their chances of earning another three points here against an opponent that are winless in their last four. The Seasiders will also know that a victory could take them as high as the top six, which will be exactly where they want to be heading into the busy festive period.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 48.25%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackpool would win this match.
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