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League One | Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
BR

Carlisle
0 - 1
Bristol Rovers


Barclay (5'), Garner (14'), Moxon (90+5'), Gibson (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lavelle (38' og.)
Woods (14'), Friend (45+2'), Collins (51')
Crama (73')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Carlisle United 1-1 Bristol Rovers

There are often plenty of goals when these sides meet, as the last 11 head-to-heads have produced a whopping 36 goals. Neither of the two sides are in the best form though, so a close, cagey affair could be in store which may see the spoils shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
38.31% (-0.552 -0.55) 25.76% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 35.93% (0.64100000000001 0.64)
Both teams to score 55.02% (0.36 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.85% (0.434 0.43)49.15% (-0.432 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.78% (0.39 0.39)71.21% (-0.389 -0.39)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (-0.101 -0.1)25.15% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.13% (-0.139 -0.14)59.86% (0.141 0.14)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.51% (0.58200000000001 0.58)26.49% (-0.58 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.32% (0.764 0.76)61.68% (-0.763 -0.76)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 38.31%
    Bristol Rovers 35.93%
    Draw 25.75%
Carlisle UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.2% (-0.191 -0.19)
2-1 @ 8.43% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.35% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-1 @ 3.88% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 38.31%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.66% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 8.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.11% (0.099 0.1)
0-2 @ 5.88% (0.089 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.59% (0.102 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.6% (0.081 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.063 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 35.93%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Leyton Orient 3-1 Carlisle
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Cambridge 1-0 Carlisle
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-0 Carlisle
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 0-2 Forest U21s
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Reading 1-1 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 7-2 Whitby
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-1 Northampton
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Stevenage
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 4-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, October 7 at 12.30pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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