Morecambe need to avoid defeat in order to advance to the second round, but we are expecting Blackpool to win this match. The hosts will make wholesale changes to their usual side, but it should still be strong enough to pick up another victory in the competition.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 53.24%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 23.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Blackpool in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Blackpool.
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