SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 69.69%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 14.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.89%), while for an Aston Villa Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
69.69% ( -0.01) | 15.63% ( 0.02) | 14.68% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 68.1% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 78% ( -0.12) | 21.99% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 59.11% ( -0.16) | 40.88% ( 0.17) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.18% ( -0.03) | 5.82% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.62% ( -0.08) | 22.37% ( 0.09) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.31% ( -0.1) | 27.68% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.76% ( -0.13) | 63.24% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.93% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.5% 5-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.18% ( -0)6-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.37% Total : 69.69% | 1-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.58% Total : 15.63% | 1-2 @ 3.78% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 3.58% Total : 14.68% |
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