SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 67.01%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 14.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-2 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Harrogate Town |
67.01% ( 0.21) | 18.84% ( -0.14) | 14.15% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.3% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.5% ( 0.52) | 39.49% ( -0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.16% ( 0.54) | 61.84% ( -0.54) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.11% ( 0.2) | 10.89% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.96% ( 0.45) | 35.04% ( -0.45) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.81% ( 0.23) | 40.18% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.18% ( 0.21) | 76.82% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 2-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.04)Other @ 4.24% Total : 67% | 1-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.84% | 1-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 1.73% Total : 14.15% |
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