Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 51%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.
Result | ||
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
23.94% ( 3.15) | 25.06% ( 0.62) | 51% ( -3.78) |
Both teams to score 50.56% ( 2.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.15% ( 0.72) | 51.84% ( -0.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.4% ( 0.62) | 73.6% ( -0.62) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.46% ( 3.47) | 36.53% ( -3.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.68% ( 3.33) | 73.32% ( -3.34) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.66% ( -1.23) | 20.33% ( 1.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.28% ( -2) | 52.72% ( 1.99) |
Score Analysis |
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 6% ( 0.69) 2-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.56) 3-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.39) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.28) Other @ 1.81% Total : 23.94% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.32) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.38) Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.81) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 9.42% ( -1.04) 1-3 @ 5.04% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 5% ( -0.77) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.18) 0-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.4) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 50.99% |
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