SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 55.02%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 23.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.76%) and 0-1 (7.72%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
23.45% ( -1.77) | 21.53% ( -0.79) | 55.02% ( 2.55) |
| Both teams to score 61.77% ( 0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.23% ( 1.88) | 36.77% ( -1.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.07% ( 2.01) | 58.93% ( -2.01) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.33% ( -0.37) | 28.67% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.51% ( -0.46) | 64.49% ( 0.46) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.6% ( 1.46) | 13.4% ( -1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.67% ( 2.85) | 40.33% ( -2.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 2-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.36) 1-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.51)2-0 @ 3% ( -0.35)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.16)Other @ 3.36% Total : 23.45% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.36)3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.53% | 1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.12)0-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.3)1-3 @ 6.5% ( 0.36)0-3 @ 5.2% ( 0.34)2-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.19)1-4 @ 3.27% ( 0.34)0-4 @ 2.61% ( 0.3)2-4 @ 2.04% ( 0.19)1-5 @ 1.31% ( 0.2)0-5 @ 1.05% ( 0.17)Other @ 3.81% Total : 55.02% |
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