Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
41.05% ( -0.22)	26.21% ( 0.03)	32.74% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 52.9% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.4% (

-0.07)

51.6% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.61% (

-0.06)

73.39% (

0.06)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.19% (

-0.14)

24.81% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.61% (

-0.2)

59.39% (

0.2)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.35% (

0.09)

29.65% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.31% (

0.11)

65.69% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 41.05%

Bolton Wanderers 32.74%

Draw 26.2%

Oxford United	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.25% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.59% Total : 41.05%	1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.2%	0-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 32.74%