Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
-0.22) 
0.03) 
