SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Wrexham |
28.27% ( -0.24) | 23.62% ( -0.37) | 48.11% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 59.24% ( 1.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.74% ( 1.51) | 42.25% ( -1.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.34% ( 1.5) | 64.66% ( -1.5) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.03% ( 0.6) | 27.97% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.39% ( 0.76) | 63.6% ( -0.77) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.25% ( 0.82) | 17.75% ( -0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.56% ( 1.41) | 48.43% ( -1.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Wrexham |
| 2-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.32)2-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.79% Total : 28.27% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.12)0-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.34)3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.61% | 1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.35)0-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 5.45% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.16)1-4 @ 2.35% ( 0.13)0-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.76% Total : 48.11% |
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