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League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
LO

Bolton
3 - 2
Leyton Orient

Cogley (3'), Charles (7'), Thomason (10')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Forde (55'), Archibald (60')
Sotiriou (45+4'), James (53'), Archibald (57'), Happe (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Leyton Orient

Bolton won six straight competitive home games prior to last Saturday's defeat to Bristol Rovers, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage to return to winning ways against Leyton Orient. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 55.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 21.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawLeyton Orient
55.42% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 23.05% (0.011999999999997 0.01) 21.52% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.83% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.96% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)46.04% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.65% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)68.35% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.54% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)16.46% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.83% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)46.16% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.44% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)35.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.67% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)72.33% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 55.42%
    Leyton Orient 21.52%
    Draw 23.05%
Bolton WanderersDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 10.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 5.73% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.67% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 55.42%
1-1 @ 10.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.09%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.05%
0-1 @ 6.05% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.65% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.13% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.95% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.76%
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 21.52%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bolton 1-2 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-0 Bolton
Monday, December 11 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Port Vale
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bolton 5-1 Harrogate
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-0 Bolton
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 7-0 Exeter
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-2 Leyton Orient
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-3 Derby
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Chesterfield 1-0 Leyton Orient
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-1 Wigan
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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