Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 63.19%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 17.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 1-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Port Vale win it was 1-2 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
0.24) 
-0.1) 
