SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 63.19%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 17.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 1-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Port Vale win it was 1-2 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Port Vale |
63.19% ( 0.24) | 19.7% ( -0.1) | 17.11% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 57.5% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.53% ( 0.22) | 37.47% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.31% ( 0.23) | 59.7% ( -0.23) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.7% ( 0.13) | 11.3% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.05% ( 0.28) | 35.95% ( -0.27) |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.83% ( -0.02) | 35.17% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.08% ( -0.03) | 71.93% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Port Vale |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.45% 1-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.39% Total : 63.19% | 1-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.7% | 1-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 17.11% |
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