SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.73%) and 2-0 (5.23%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Stuttgart |
42.77% ( -1.15) | 22.32% ( -0.21) | 34.91% ( 1.36) |
| Both teams to score 67.54% ( 1.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.19% ( 1.49) | 32.81% ( -1.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.5% ( 1.7) | 54.5% ( -1.7) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.89% ( 0.16) | 16.11% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.48% ( 0.28) | 45.51% ( -0.28) |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.51% ( 1.38) | 19.49% ( -1.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.64% ( 2.2) | 51.36% ( -2.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.21) 1-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.43)2-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.37)3-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.09)4-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.76% Total : 42.77% | 1-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 7% ( 0.13)0-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.25)3-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.49% Total : 22.32% | 1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.16)2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.15)3-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.49% Total : 34.91% |
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