SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.53%) and 1-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stuttgart in this match.
| Result | ||
| Stuttgart | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
44.83% ( -1.41) | 21.71% ( 0.33) | 33.46% ( 1.09) |
| Both teams to score 69.44% ( -0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.85% ( -1.21) | 30.14% ( 1.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.63% ( -1.47) | 51.37% ( 1.47) |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.69% ( -0.93) | 14.31% ( 0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.87% ( -1.85) | 42.12% ( 1.85) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.04% ( -0.04) | 18.96% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.51% ( -0.07) | 50.49% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stuttgart | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.19)1-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.19)4-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.11)4-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.64% Total : 44.83% | 1-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.71% | 1-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.24) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.3)1-3 @ 4.04% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.24)0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.49% Total : 33.46% |
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