SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.69%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 15.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Hoffenheim |
67.69% ( 0.32) | 16.83% ( -0.13) | 15.48% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 65% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.59% ( 0.25) | 26.41% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.26% ( 0.31) | 46.74% ( -0.31) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.74% ( 0.13) | 7.26% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.7% ( 0.33) | 26.3% ( -0.33) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.09% ( -0.05) | 29.91% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.99% ( -0.06) | 66.01% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.03)6-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.76% Total : 67.69% | 1-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 0.43% Total : 16.83% | 1-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.27% Total : 15.48% |
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