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Bundesliga | Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
UB

Stuttgart
2 - 0
Union Berlin

Guirassy (19'), Fuhrich (65')
Vagnomann (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Khedira (39'), Tousart (77')
Schafer (69')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union Berlin 0-2 Dortmund
Saturday, March 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 2-0 Union Berlin

Union Berlin have only lost one of their last five Bundesliga matches, but they will be coming up against a Stuttgart side in excellent form. The hosts are winning a lot of games at the moment, and we are expecting them to put another three points on the board on Friday night in routine fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 72.75%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 10.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.95%) and 3-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Stuttgart in this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawUnion Berlin
72.75% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 16.66%10.58% (-0.025 -0.03)
Both teams to score 49.65% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.5% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)38.49% (0.07 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.21% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)60.78% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.78% (-0.012 -0.01)9.21% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.81% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)31.18% (0.029 0.03)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.69% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)45.3% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.82% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)81.17% (0.071000000000012 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 72.75%
    Union Berlin 10.58%
    Draw 16.66%
StuttgartDrawUnion Berlin
2-0 @ 11.86% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.95% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 9.43% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
3-1 @ 7.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.45% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.12% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 72.75%
1-1 @ 7.88% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.18% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 16.66%
0-1 @ 3.31% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-2 @ 3.12% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 0.98% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 10.58%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-3 Stuttgart
Saturday, March 2 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-1 FC Koln
Saturday, February 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Darmstadt 1-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, February 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 3-1 Mainz
Sunday, February 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-2 Stuttgart
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Freiburg 1-3 Stuttgart
Saturday, February 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-2 Dortmund
Saturday, March 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-2 Heidenheim
Saturday, February 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 0-1 Union Berlin
Saturday, February 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-0 Wolfsburg
Saturday, February 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Union Berlin
Wednesday, February 7 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 Union Berlin
Sunday, February 4 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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