SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.03%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stuttgart | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
33.07% ( -0.01) | 22.34% ( -0.01) | 44.59% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 66.81% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.49% ( 0.03) | 33.51% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.69% ( 0.04) | 55.31% ( -0.04) |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.25% ( 0.01) | 20.75% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.62% ( 0.02) | 53.38% ( -0.02) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.3% ( 0.02) | 15.7% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.22% ( 0.03) | 44.78% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stuttgart | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 7.46% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.03% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.91% 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0)Other @ 3.86% Total : 33.07% | 1-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.91% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.23% ( 0)Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.34% | 1-2 @ 8.78% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.58% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.42% ( 0)2-3 @ 4.26% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.45% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.51% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.97% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.6% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)1-5 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 3.03% Total : 44.59% |
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