The combination of Wolfsburg's away record and Gladbach's good home form - which has kept them out of a relegation fight - means that there is little to choose between the teams before kickoff. A low-scoring draw could be the outcome, then, which would prove more frustrating for the away side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
0.22) 
-0.38) 
