SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 64.96%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 16.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 3-1 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
64.96% ( 0.33) | 18.53% ( -0.11) | 16.5% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 60.57% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.08% ( 0.08) | 32.92% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.36% ( 0.08) | 54.63% ( -0.08) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.44% ( 0.1) | 9.56% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.99% ( 0.23) | 32.01% ( -0.23) |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.97% ( -0.21) | 33.03% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.38% ( -0.23) | 69.62% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 7.41% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 2.45% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 3.8% Total : 64.96% | 1-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 18.53% | 1-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.87% Total : 16.5% |
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