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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 18, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
 
LL

Wolfsburg
0 - 3
RB Leipzig


Bornauw (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Forsberg (14'), Laimer (85'), Szoboszlai (90+2')
Raum (65')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Schalke 0-0 Wolfsburg
Friday, February 10 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-2 Union Berlin
Saturday, February 11 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 1-1 RB Leipzig

With both sides struggling for form in recent weeks, we can envisage a share of the spoils in Wolfsburg on Saturday. Although Leipzig undoubtedly possess more individual quality than their forthcoming opponents do, Kovac's side have become increasingly tough to beat, while they have the advantage of playing without European football this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 18.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.56%) and 0-1 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 2-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawRB Leipzig
18.18% (0.07 0.07) 19.45% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 62.37% (-0.125 -0.13)
Both teams to score 60.76% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.71% (-0.133 -0.13)34.29% (0.131 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.81% (-0.15 -0.15)56.19% (0.147 0.15)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.95% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)32.05% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.48% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)68.52% (0.0049999999999955 0)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.42% (-0.071999999999989 -0.07)10.58% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.65% (-0.15700000000001 -0.16)34.35% (0.155 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 18.18%
    RB Leipzig 62.37%
    Draw 19.45%
WolfsburgDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 4.93% (0.017 0.02)
1-0 @ 3.86% (0.025 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.2% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.87% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 18.18%
1-1 @ 8.67% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.39% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 19.45%
1-2 @ 9.73% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.56% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.62% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 7.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 4.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 4.09% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-4 @ 3.6% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.84% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.62% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 62.37%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Schalke 0-0 Wolfsburg
Friday, February 10 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-4 Bayern
Sunday, February 5 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Wolfsburg
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, January 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 0-5 Wolfsburg
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 6-0 Freiburg
Saturday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-2 Union Berlin
Saturday, February 11 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 0-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Hoffenheim
Wednesday, February 1 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-1 Stuttgart
Friday, January 27 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Schalke 1-6 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, January 24 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-1 Bayern
Friday, January 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga


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