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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 18, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Borussia-Park
BL

Borussia M'bach
3 - 2
Bayern

Stindl (13'), Hofmann (55'), Thuram (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Maxim Choupo-Moting (35'), Tel (90+3')
Goretzka (37'), Nagelsmann (79+79')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 0-1 Bayern
Tuesday, February 14 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 1-3 Bayern Munich

Gladbach have provided Bayern with some stern tests in recent seasons, but they are lacking form and momentum ahead of facing them at Borussia Park on Saturday. While we expect the likes of Jonas Hofmann and Thuram to cause significant problems in transition and potentially score against their former teammate Sommer, the Bavarians should have enough firepower going the other way to return to Munich with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.26%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 14.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.08%) and 1-3 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.97%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 2-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawBayern Munich
14.22% (0.016 0.02) 16.52% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 69.26% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 62.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.27% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)27.73% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.59% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)48.41% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)32.32% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.17% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)68.83% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.71% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)7.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.63% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)26.37% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 14.22%
    Bayern Munich 69.26%
    Draw 16.52%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 3.93% (0.004 0)
1-0 @ 2.66% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
3-1 @ 1.48% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 14.22%
1-1 @ 6.97% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 2.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 16.52%
1-2 @ 9.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 8.08% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-3 @ 7.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 7.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.17% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-4 @ 5.22% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-4 @ 4.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 4.5%
2-4 @ 2.95% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-5 @ 2.73% (-0.004 -0)
0-5 @ 2.42% (-0.004 -0)
2-5 @ 1.54% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-6 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
3-4 @ 1.11%
0-6 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 69.26%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 4-1 Borussia M'bach
Sunday, February 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 0-0 Schalke
Saturday, February 4 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-4 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, January 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 1-0 Borussia M'bach
Wednesday, January 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 2-3 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, January 22 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 4-2 Dortmund
Friday, November 11 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: PSG 0-1 Bayern
Tuesday, February 14 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Bayern 3-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, February 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-4 Bayern
Sunday, February 5 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 0-4 Bayern
Wednesday, February 1 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Bayern 1-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, January 28 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 1-1 FC Koln
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga


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