SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.67%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Freiburg |
44.07% ( -2.32) | 22.91% ( 0.12) | 33.02% ( 2.2) |
| Both teams to score 64.62% ( 0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.63% ( 0.39) | 36.36% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.5% ( 0.43) | 58.49% ( -0.43) |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.97% ( -0.73) | 17.02% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.83% ( -1.31) | 47.16% ( 1.31) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.87% ( 1.44) | 22.12% ( -1.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.5% ( 2.13) | 55.5% ( -2.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Freiburg |
| 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.23) 1-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.3)2-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.42)3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.27)3-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.34)4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.18)4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.19)Other @ 4.26% Total : 44.07% | 1-1 @ 10.05% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.9% | 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.31) 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.28)1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.31)2-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.22)1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.17)2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.13)Other @ 3.41% Total : 33.02% |
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