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Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadion Hristo Botev

Botev Plovdiv
2 - 1
Zrinjski Mostar

Akere (35'), Maras (79')
Eto'o (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cuze (77')
Ivancic (23'), Sunjic (51'), Kis (85'), Memija (85')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Botev Plovdiv and Zrinjski Mostar.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Botev Plovdiv 0-4 Panathinaikos
Thursday, August 1 at 7pm in Europa League
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Last Game: Bravo 1-3 Zrinjski Mostar
Thursday, August 1 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zrinjski Mostar win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Botev Plovdiv had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zrinjski Mostar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Botev Plovdiv win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Botev PlovdivDrawZrinjski Mostar
32.1% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 27.28% (0.012 0.01) 40.61% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Both teams to score 49.37% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.98% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)56.01% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.9% (-0.029 -0.03)77.1% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Botev Plovdiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.69% (0.0010000000000048 0)32.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.19% (0.0010000000000012 0)68.81%
Zrinjski Mostar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)27.07% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.56% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)62.44% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Botev Plovdiv 32.1%
    Zrinjski Mostar 40.61%
    Draw 27.28%
Botev PlovdivDrawZrinjski Mostar
1-0 @ 9.88% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.58% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 32.1%
1-1 @ 12.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.74% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 11.42%
1-2 @ 8.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.47% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.68% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 40.61%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Botev Plovdiv 0-4 Panathinaikos
Thursday, August 1 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Panathinaikos 2-1 Botev Plovdiv
Thursday, July 25 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Maribor 2-2 Botev Plovdiv
Thursday, July 18 at 7.15pm in Europa League
Last Game: Botev Plovdiv 2-1 Maribor
Thursday, July 11 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: APOEL 2-0 Botev Plovdiv
Thursday, July 28 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Botev Plovdiv 0-0 APOEL
Wednesday, July 20 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Bravo 1-3 Zrinjski Mostar
Thursday, August 1 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 0-1 Bravo
Thursday, July 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 1-1 Aston Villa
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: AZ 1-0 Zrinjski Mostar
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Legia 2-0 Zrinjski Mostar
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 1-2 Legia
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa Conference League


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