Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bradford City in this match.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
