Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Pisa win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
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