Serie B | Gameweek 35
May 1, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ascoli and Pisa.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Pisa win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ascoli would win this match.
| Result |
| Ascoli | Draw | Pisa |
42.7% ( 0.25) | 27.72% ( -0.08) | 29.58% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 47.13% ( 0.16) |
| 41.61% ( 0.23) | 58.39% ( -0.23) |
| 21.01% ( 0.18) | 78.99% ( -0.18) |
| 72.95% ( 0.24) | 27.05% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.58% ( 0.31) | 62.42% ( -0.31) |
| 64.61% ( 0) | 35.39% ( 0) |
