Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Ternana win was 1-0 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Ternana	Draw	Pisa
30.48% ( 1.1)	27.88% ( 0.66)	41.63% ( -1.76)

Both teams to score 47.05% (

-1.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.33% (

-1.99)

58.67% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.78% (

-1.57)

79.22% (

1.58)

Ternana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.14% (

-0.23)

34.86% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.4% (

-0.24)

71.6% (

0.24)

Pisa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.24% (

-1.86)

27.76% (

1.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.66% (

-2.45)

63.34% (

2.45)

Score Analysis

Ternana 30.48%

Pisa 41.63%

Draw 27.88%

Ternana	Draw	Pisa
1-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.69) 2-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.17% Total : 30.48%	1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.71) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.88%	0-1 @ 12.4% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.31) 0-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.33) 0-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.29) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.17) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.16) Other @ 1.82% Total : 41.63%