Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pisa would win this match.
1.14) 
-0.3) 
