SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pisa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pisa | Draw | Brescia |
45.09% ( 1.14) | 25.83% ( -0.3) | 29.09% ( -0.84) |
| Both teams to score 52.48% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.61% ( 0.81) | 51.39% ( -0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.79% ( 0.7) | 73.21% ( -0.7) |
| Pisa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.26% ( 0.89) | 22.74% ( -0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.59% ( 1.31) | 56.42% ( -1.3) |
| Brescia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.92% ( -0.2) | 32.08% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.45% ( -0.22) | 68.56% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pisa | Draw | Brescia |
| 1-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 8% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.12% Total : 45.08% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.71% Total : 29.09% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
