Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
Brescia	Draw	Spezia
44.06% ( 0.44)	26.76% ( 0.1)	29.17% ( -0.54)

Both teams to score 49.67% (

-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.96% (

-0.61)

55.04% (

0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.69% (

-0.51)

76.31% (

0.51)

Brescia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.17% (

-0.06)

24.83% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.58% (

-0.08)

59.42% (

0.08)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.07% (

-0.72)

33.93% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.4% (

-0.79)

70.6% (

0.79)

Score Analysis

Brescia 44.06%

Spezia 29.17%

Draw 26.76%

Brescia	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 11.73% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 44.06%	1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.76%	0-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.33% Total : 29.17%