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BL
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20
Feb 1, 2025 at 4pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
PL
PSG logo

Brest
2 - 5
PSG

Del Castillo (50'), Ajorque (71')
Sima (36')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dembele (29', 57', 62'), Ramos (89', 90+7')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brest 0-3 Real Madrid
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-4 PSG
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Brest 1-1 Paris Saint-Germain

After an exhausting week for PSG, the level may drop slightly once again in this domestic fixture, as it did against Reims last week, and this plucky Brest side are capable of causing them problems. While PSG are still unbeaten this season, four of the five occasions where they have dropped points have come immediately after a Champions League fixture, while Brest have taken 18 points from a possible 21 in their games straight after a European game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 64.64%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Brest had a probability of 15.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Brest win it was 2-1 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
BrestDrawParis Saint-Germain
15.63% (0.322 0.32) 19.73% (0.129 0.13) 64.64% (-0.449 -0.45)
Both teams to score 53.97% (0.342 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.53% (0.065999999999995 0.07)40.47% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.15% (0.067 0.07)62.85% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.2% (0.461 0.46)38.8% (-0.459 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.47% (0.434 0.43)75.53% (-0.431 -0.43)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.2% (-0.102 -0.1)11.8% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.98% (-0.221 -0.22)37.02% (0.222 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Brest 15.63%
    Paris Saint-Germain 64.63%
    Draw 19.73%
BrestDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 4.39% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
1-0 @ 4.33% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 2.05% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.48% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.38% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2%
Total : 15.63%
1-1 @ 9.26% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.065 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.58% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.73%
0-2 @ 10.45% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 9.9% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.78% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
0-3 @ 7.45% (-0.115 -0.11)
1-3 @ 7.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 3.98% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-4 @ 3.77% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.34% (0.032 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.78% (0.01 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.7% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.61% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 64.63%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Brest 0-3 Real Madrid
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Le Havre 0-1 Brest
Sunday, January 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Shakhtar 2-0 Brest
Wednesday, January 22 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Rennes 1-2 Brest
Saturday, January 18 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-1 Nantes
Wednesday, January 15 at 5.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Brest 2-1 Lyon
Saturday, January 11 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-4 PSG
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: PSG 1-1 Reims
Saturday, January 25 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 4-2 Man City
Wednesday, January 22 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Lens 1-2 PSG
Saturday, January 18 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Espaly-Saint-Marcel 2-4 PSG
Wednesday, January 15 at 8pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: PSG 2-1 St Etienne
Sunday, January 12 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1


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