SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton Ladies win with a probability of 61.94%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 18.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton Ladies win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.74%) and 0-1 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Bristol City Women win it was 2-1 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Everton Ladies would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City Women | Draw | Everton Ladies |
18.33% ( -2.41) | 19.74% ( -0.43) | 61.94% ( 2.84) |
| Both teams to score 59.94% ( -2.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.54% ( -1.76) | 35.46% ( 1.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.5% ( -1.98) | 57.5% ( 1.98) |
| Bristol City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.38% ( -3.38) | 32.62% ( 3.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.84% ( -3.96) | 69.16% ( 3.97) |
| Everton Ladies Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.96% ( 0.22) | 11.04% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.64% ( 0.47) | 35.36% ( -0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City Women | Draw | Everton Ladies |
| 2-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.45) 1-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.38)3-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.37)Other @ 3.15% Total : 18.33% | 1-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.45)0-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.31)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.27)Other @ 0.26% Total : 19.74% | 1-2 @ 9.8% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 8.74% ( 0.89)0-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.75)1-3 @ 7.2% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 6.42% ( 0.71)2-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.29)1-4 @ 3.97% ( 0.13)0-4 @ 3.54% ( 0.42)2-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.14)1-5 @ 1.75% ( 0.07)0-5 @ 1.56% ( 0.2)2-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.8% Total : 61.94% |
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