SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 92.54%. A draw had a probability of 5.7% and a win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 1.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (12.67%) and 0-2 (11.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.7%), while for a Bristol City Women win it was 1-0 (0.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
1.74% ( 0.02) | 5.72% ( 0.07) | 92.54% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 32.69% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.12% ( -0.32) | 23.88% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.56% ( -0.42) | 43.44% ( 0.42) |
| Bristol City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 33.62% ( -0.13) | 66.38% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 6.42% ( -0.05) | 93.58% ( 0.05) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.23% ( -0.06) | 2.77% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 87.29% ( -0.19) | 12.71% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
| Other @ 1.74% Total : 1.74% | 1-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 5.72% | 0-3 @ 14.13% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 12.67% 0-2 @ 11.82% ( 0.12)0-5 @ 9.09% ( -0.05)0-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 5.79% ( 0)0-6 @ 5.43% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 5.19% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 3.72% ( -0.04)0-7 @ 2.78% ( -0.05)1-6 @ 2.23% ( -0.04)0-8 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)1-7 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.59% Total : 92.53% |
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