Having lost seven of their last 10 matches, Bristol Rovers will be relishing facing the worst team in the division on recent form. We can envisage them cutting loose with a few goals and a comfortable victory.
Carlisle have lost seven successive games and appear doomed for an instant return to League Two, but they are likely to stick with club legend Simpson after defying the odds to reach this level of the footballing pyramid in the first place.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 55.75%. A draw has a probability of 23% and a win for Carlisle United has a probability of 21.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Carlisle United win it is 0-1 (6.03%).
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