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League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
BR

Carlisle
1 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Dennis (72')
Armer (65'), Dickenson (90+6'), Dennis (90+6'), Patrick (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Taylor (90+6'), Saunders (90+8')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Carlisle United 0-1 Bristol Rovers

Both teams head into this match in vastly different league positions, but they are in great form, picking up results on a regular basis, while they have defended well. They have each been picking up clean sheets as of late, and that could lead to this match being quite a closely-contested one that the visitors will likely just edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
30.11%26.74%43.14%
Both teams to score 50.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.42%54.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.08%75.92%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.02%32.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.44%69.56%
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92%25.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23%59.77%
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 30.11%
    Bristol Rovers 43.13%
    Draw 26.74%
Carlisle UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.17%
2-1 @ 7.04%
2-0 @ 5.09%
3-1 @ 2.6%
3-0 @ 1.88%
3-2 @ 1.8%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 30.11%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 8.27%
2-2 @ 4.87%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 11.43%
1-2 @ 8.78%
0-2 @ 7.91%
1-3 @ 4.05%
0-3 @ 3.65%
2-3 @ 2.24%
1-4 @ 1.4%
0-4 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 43.13%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Barrow 1-2 Carlisle
Saturday, March 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 1-2 Newport
Tuesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 Northampton
Saturday, March 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Oldham 1-2 Carlisle
Saturday, March 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 2-0 Rochdale
Tuesday, March 1 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-1 Carlisle
Saturday, February 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, March 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Colchester
Tuesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-0 Harrogate
Saturday, March 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 1-2 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, March 8 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 1-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, March 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Barrow
Tuesday, March 1 at 7.45pm in League Two


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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