Mallorca are likely to rotate their squad for this one but should have more than enough depth in their squad to secure another comfortable win in this competition. They have already eased past two lower-division sides without conceding in the last two rounds, and we fancy them to shut out this opponent as well.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.
0.09) 
-0.24) 
