SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 38.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.15%) and 2-0 (5.07%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Bournemouth |
38.68% ( -0.38) | 23.06% ( 0.19) | 38.25% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 65.13% ( -0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.86% ( -0.94) | 36.14% ( 0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.75% ( -1.04) | 58.25% ( 1.04) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.8% ( -0.58) | 19.2% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.11% ( -0.96) | 50.89% ( 0.96) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.6% ( -0.32) | 19.4% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.79% ( -0.53) | 51.21% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.45% Total : 38.68% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.05% | 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.38% Total : 38.26% |
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