This has all the makings of being a tight match, regardless of the teams that are selected by the two managers. However, with Bournemouth low on confidence, we expect the visitors to edge this fixture by the odd goal in three, potentially via a late strike.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
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