Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 38.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.15%) and 2-0 (5.07%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Bournemouth
38.68% ( -0.38)	23.06% ( 0.19)	38.25% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 65.13% (

-0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.86% (

-0.94)

36.14% (

0.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.75% (

-1.04)

58.25% (

1.04)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.8% (

-0.58)

19.2% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.11% (

-0.96)

50.89% (

0.96)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.6% (

-0.32)

19.4% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.79% (

-0.53)

51.21% (

0.53)

Score Analysis

Burnley 38.68%

Bournemouth 38.26%

Draw 23.05%

Burnley	Draw	Bournemouth
2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.45% Total : 38.68%	1-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.05%	1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.38% Total : 38.26%