SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 49.07%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.07%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Bournemouth |
49.07% ( -0.02) | 22.39% ( 0.01) | 28.54% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.86% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.74% ( -0.05) | 36.27% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.61% ( -0.06) | 58.39% ( 0.06) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.85% ( -0.03) | 15.15% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.26% ( -0.05) | 43.74% ( 0.05) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.26% ( -0.02) | 24.74% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.7% ( -0.03) | 59.3% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.2% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 4.12% Total : 49.07% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0)Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.39% | 1-2 @ 6.9% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 28.54% |
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