SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 21.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Fulham win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Fulham |
55.49% ( -1.18) | 22.89% ( 0.3) | 21.62% ( 0.89) |
| Both teams to score 54.49% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.77% ( -0.2) | 45.24% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.42% ( -0.19) | 67.58% ( 0.19) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.85% ( -0.47) | 16.15% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.4% ( -0.87) | 45.6% ( 0.87) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.99% ( 0.75) | 35.01% ( -0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.24% ( 0.78) | 71.76% ( -0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley | Draw | Fulham |
| 1-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.35% Total : 55.49% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.89% | 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.07)Other @ 2% Total : 21.62% |
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