SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 58.73%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 20.65% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.27%) and 0-1 (7.83%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 2-1 (5.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bournemouth | Draw | Liverpool |
20.65% ( -1.41) | 20.62% ( -0.89) | 58.73% ( 2.3) |
| Both teams to score 60.97% ( 1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.99% ( 2.37) | 36.01% ( -2.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.89% ( 2.56) | 58.11% ( -2.56) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.34% ( 0.09) | 30.66% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.09% ( 0.11) | 66.91% ( -0.11) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.93% ( 1.44) | 12.07% ( -1.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.41% ( 2.95) | 37.59% ( -2.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bournemouth | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.31) 1-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.52)2-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.3)3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.77% Total : 20.65% | 1-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.55) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.45)3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.28% Total : 20.62% | 1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.05)0-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.49)1-3 @ 6.89% ( 0.34)0-3 @ 5.83% ( 0.28)2-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.21)1-4 @ 3.64% ( 0.37)0-4 @ 3.08% ( 0.3)2-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.22)1-5 @ 1.54% ( 0.23)0-5 @ 1.3% ( 0.19)2-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.14)Other @ 3.42% Total : 58.73% |
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