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Premier League | Gameweek 21
Jan 21, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Vitality Stadium
LL

Bournemouth
0 - 4
Liverpool


Cook (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nunez (49', 90+3'), Jota (70', 79')
Bradley (66'), Nunez (90+7')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 58.73%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 20.65% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.27%) and 0-1 (7.83%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 2-1 (5.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
BournemouthDrawLiverpool
20.65% (-1.405 -1.41) 20.62% (-0.892 -0.89) 58.73% (2.299 2.3)
Both teams to score 60.97% (1.077 1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.99% (2.369 2.37)36.01% (-2.367 -2.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.89% (2.557 2.56)58.11% (-2.555 -2.56)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.34% (0.093999999999994 0.09)30.66% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.09% (0.109 0.11)66.91% (-0.10600000000001 -0.11)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.93% (1.436 1.44)12.07% (-1.435 -1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.41% (2.95 2.95)37.59% (-2.948 -2.95)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 20.65%
    Liverpool 58.73%
    Draw 20.62%
BournemouthDrawLiverpool
2-1 @ 5.47% (-0.312 -0.31)
1-0 @ 4.38% (-0.522 -0.52)
2-0 @ 2.59% (-0.301 -0.3)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.15% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-0 @ 1.02% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 20.65%
1-1 @ 9.25% (-0.553 -0.55)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.7% (-0.452 -0.45)
3-3 @ 1.61% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 20.62%
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.27% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-1 @ 7.83% (-0.489 -0.49)
1-3 @ 6.89% (0.342 0.34)
0-3 @ 5.83% (0.275 0.28)
2-3 @ 4.07% (0.212 0.21)
1-4 @ 3.64% (0.365 0.37)
0-4 @ 3.08% (0.301 0.3)
2-4 @ 2.15% (0.221 0.22)
1-5 @ 1.54% (0.228 0.23)
0-5 @ 1.3% (0.19 0.19)
2-5 @ 0.91% (0.137 0.14)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 58.73%

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Form Guide
Last Game: QPR 2-3 Bournemouth
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Spurs 3-1 Bournemouth
Sunday, December 31 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 3-0 Fulham
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-3 Bournemouth
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 0-3 Bournemouth
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-2 Bournemouth
Wednesday, December 6 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-1 Fulham
Wednesday, January 10 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Arsenal 0-2 Liverpool
Sunday, January 7 at 4.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Liverpool 4-2 Newcastle
Monday, January 1 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 0-2 Liverpool
Tuesday, December 26 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Arsenal
Saturday, December 23 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 5-1 West Ham
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in EFL Cup


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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