Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 53.42%. A win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Leicester City Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Leicester City Under-21s |
53.42% ( -0.06) | 21.75% ( -0.02) | 24.84% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 62.67% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.68% ( 0.16) | 36.32% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.55% ( 0.18) | 58.45% ( -0.18) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.26% ( 0.03) | 13.74% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.99% ( 0.08) | 41.01% ( -0.08) |
Leicester City Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.65% ( 0.15) | 27.35% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.19% ( 0.19) | 62.8% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Leicester City Under-21s |
2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.35% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.15% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 3.76% Total : 53.42% | 1-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.75% | 1-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.16% 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.78% Total : 24.84% |
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