SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Stevenage |
30.75% ( 0.2) | 27.25% ( 0.01) | 41.99% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 48.98% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.71% ( 0.03) | 56.28% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.68% ( 0.02) | 77.32% ( -0.02) |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.59% ( 0.16) | 33.4% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.97% ( 0.18) | 70.03% ( -0.18) |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.54% ( -0.1) | 26.45% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.37% ( -0.13) | 61.63% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burton Albion | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 30.75% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.25% | 0-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.57% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 41.99% |
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