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League One | Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
S

Burton Albion
0 - 0
Stevenage


Godwin-Malife (34'), Gilligan (67'), Watt (90')
FT

Sweeney (7'), Roberts (34'), Thompson (34'), Simpson (50'), Smith (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Palace U21s
Tuesday, August 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Stevenage

Although Burton have been leaky in defence, they deserve credit for their draw at Mansfield. With that in mind, we are backing another stalemate here, albeit with fewer goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawStevenage
30.75% (0.202 0.2) 27.25% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 41.99% (-0.21400000000001 -0.21)
Both teams to score 48.98% (0.055 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.71% (0.027000000000001 0.03)56.28% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.68% (0.023 0.02)77.32% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.59% (0.163 0.16)33.4% (-0.16399999999999 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.97% (0.177 0.18)70.03% (-0.178 -0.18)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.54% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)26.45% (0.099 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.37% (-0.133 -0.13)61.63% (0.132 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 30.75%
    Stevenage 41.99%
    Draw 27.25%
Burton AlbionDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 9.69% (0.032 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.06% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.31% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.58% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.94% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 30.75%
1-1 @ 12.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.25%
0-1 @ 11.75% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.81% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.8% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.46% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.15% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 41.99%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Burton Albion 3-1 Leicester U21s
Tuesday, August 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Mansfield 3-3 Burton Albion
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-4 Blackpool
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-3 Lincoln
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-2 Morecambe
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-0 Port Vale
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Palace U21s
Tuesday, August 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Huddersfield 2-1 Stevenage
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Norwich 4-3 Stevenage
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One
Last Game: Braintree 1-2 Stevenage
Friday, August 2 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Stevenage 1-3 Coventry
Tuesday, July 23 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3


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