Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
-0.01) 
0.02) 
